There is so much misinformation, narrowly biased coverage and raw emotion online that concern me about our society's ability to think critically about the important issues of the day. I want to provoke a deeper level of thought by offering an explanation of issues as I see them. You may agree or disagree, but hopefully you will at least think about the issues.
I am a retired litigation lawyer with over 40 years of experience in environmental, electricity, competition, and constitutional issues. I have appeared at all levels of court including the Supreme Court of Canada, and in every province of Canada. I have been invited as a guest lecturer at almost all of the law schools in this country. I am also the author of over 100 legal articles and a law book, and have been an adjunct faculty member at four Canadian law schools.
I was recently reminded of a joke from the days when I was an ad executive (before I became a lawyer).
Client: What time is it?
Ad Exec (looking at watch): What time would you like it to be?
It made me realize the similarity between advertising advice and mathematical modelling used to justify decisions about both climate change and COVID-19.
Politician: How scary is the model forecast?
Modeler: How scary would you like it to be?
What they have in common is that the client gets the answer they want. This brings me to the misuse of models by much of the media and many politicians, to make really uninformed political decisions about important issues like climate change and Covid-19.
Continue reading “Corona Virus and Climate Change Models: How Scary Would You Like it to Be?”